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Valuation of Information Technology Investment Using the Discounted Cash Flow and Real Options Analysis

机译:利用现金流量折现法和实物期权法评估信息技术投资

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摘要

PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Telkom) planned to develop an IT-based integrated Customer Relationship Management (CRM) system called Unified TICARES in 2012 as a part of corporate strategic initiatives. The key question is whether the value of this investment is truly feasible for the company. The purpose of this thesis is to provide an IT-based investment valuation analysis using two approaches, namely the discounted cash flow (DCF) and real options analysis (ROA). It compares the results to find out whether different approach will arrive to different conclusions about the investment feasibility. The finding result from both approaches show that Unified TICARES is a promising investment, indicated by positive NPV. However, the result with ROA did not show much difference against the DCF approach. It indicates that the use of ROA is not always necessary to value an investment due to its complexity. The usefulness of ROA will be visible in valuing investments that involve complex configurations. ROA is also required when DCF is not sufficient to provide quantitative judgment on project that subject to high risk and uncertainty.
机译:PT。作为公司战略计划的一部分,印度尼西亚电信(Telkom)计划在2012年开发基于IT的集成客户关系管理(CRM)系统,称为Unified TICARES。关键问题是这项投资的价值对公司是否真正可行。本文的目的是提供使用两种方法的基于IT的投资估值分析,即折现现金流(DCF)和实物期权分析(ROA)。它对结果进行比较,以了解是否有不同的方法可以得出关于投资可行性的不同结论。两种方法的发现结果表明,统一TICARES是一项有前途的投资,正净现值表明。但是,ROA的结果与DCF方法相比并没有太大差异。这表明由于投资回报率的复杂性,不一定总需要使用ROA来评估投资。在评估涉及复杂配置的投资时,ROA的有用性将显而易见。当DCF不足以对存在高风险和不确定性的项目进行定量判断时,也需要ROA。

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